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WHAT A REALLY BAD ECONOMY WOULD LOOK LIKE

7/25/2011

 
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As of this morning, seventy percent (70%) of Americans believe the U.S. economy is in a recession, but 13% say it is not (Rasmussen). This might be a matter semantics so let’s look at some the descriptive terms used or abused: Dismal, Bad, Ugly, stagnant, comatose, horrible, terrible. Maybe Americans are hypnotized by the repetitive din of the media’s negative spin on everything and that’s why phrases like “Great Recession”, “Jobless Recovery” and “in ‘this’ terrible economy” exist. 

 
A really bad economy might have these traits:
One would rarely (if ever) wait in line for $4.30 gasoline

Gas stations closing due to lack of demand

Starbucks having net store closures, net layoffs

Costco (Sam’s Club) parking lot would be less than half full on any weekend

One could easily find an empty parking space in the front two rows of Costco.

One would rarely (if ever) experience a traffic jam

One would rarely wait in line at any grocery store

Families would cut off their cable TV subscriptions

There would be little or no demand for home electronics (Fry’s would be half emptied of merchandise)

Ask yourself if any of these traits are present today. See if you agree that they could potentially exist? That is what a “really bad economy” would look like and it “could” happen. 

Instead, I see demand out on the streets:

People waiting in line for $4.30 Gasoline

A line of customers 15-20 deep at Fry’s checkout

Completely full parking lot at La Jolla Village Square

Always a line at Starbucks (sometimes 10 deep) during morning hours

The same average wait in line at Ralph’s checkout (as compared to 2006)

I’m parking at a the very back of the Costco parking lot on weekends

Stop and go traffic on I-5 on a Friday morning (10:30 AM)

People actually spend $100 per month on cable TV subscriptions

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor before investing. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results.
Securities offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/ SIPC

    D. Scott Bloom, CFP®
    CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ 

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Securities and Advisory Services offered through LPL Financial. a registered investment advisor,Member FINRA / SIPC
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